Race 6B

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Dylan Murphy 16.1% 17.6% 15.5% 12.7% 13.8% 10.0% 7.6% 4.3% 2.4%
Malcolm Duncan Graves 8.3% 8.8% 10.5% 11.2% 11.7% 14.0% 14.4% 13.2% 7.8%
Caroline Hurley 12.8% 11.3% 13.8% 14.0% 13.6% 13.5% 9.8% 7.8% 3.4%
Maxwell Miller 29.0% 24.1% 17.8% 12.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5%
Eloise Glickman 11.2% 10.7% 12.4% 13.3% 14.1% 13.3% 11.7% 8.0% 5.5%
Austin Lai 4.2% 5.6% 5.6% 7.0% 8.5% 9.7% 14.2% 20.2% 24.9%
Kurtis Johnston 7.5% 8.8% 9.2% 11.5% 12.2% 12.6% 14.8% 14.9% 8.6%
Jaxon Gordon 7.8% 9.3% 10.2% 12.0% 11.8% 12.6% 14.8% 12.6% 8.8%
Madeleine Williams 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 9.1% 10.5% 17.9% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.