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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.32+1.86vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.20+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.36+1.29vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.10-0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.41-0.72vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03-2.44vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.02-1.52vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.22-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Washington-2.5530.4%1st Place
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3.86University of Oregon0.3216.2%1st Place
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5.23Western Washington University-0.208.5%1st Place
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5.29University of Washington-0.369.2%1st Place
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4.65Unknown School-0.1010.9%1st Place
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5.28Western Washington University-0.417.3%1st Place
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4.56Western Washington University0.0310.8%1st Place
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6.48University of Washington-1.023.1%1st Place
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6.88Western Washington University-1.223.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 30.4% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 16.2% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 9.8% |
| Eloise Glickman | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Austin Lai | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 25.1% |
| Madeleine Williams | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.