Race 10A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hannah Darrin 20.0% 21.5% 16.1% 12.3% 10.0% 8.8% 4.9% 3.4% 2.4% 0.6%
Bryan Rust 9.0% 8.5% 12.2% 10.8% 12.6% 11.6% 11.7% 8.9% 10.4% 4.3%
Craig Emmes 7.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 11.5% 13.1% 13.3% 11.5% 10.2% 7.5%
Felipe Lopez 26.7% 21.7% 17.4% 13.9% 8.2% 6.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Andrew Wien 6.2% 6.8% 6.4% 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 11.4% 14.2% 16.2% 12.9%
Katherine Stephens 9.9% 9.4% 11.0% 11.6% 12.9% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 7.7% 3.4%
Logan Swartz 7.8% 9.4% 11.7% 12.1% 12.0% 13.0% 11.4% 10.3% 7.4% 4.9%
Aike Burger 2.7% 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 8.9% 10.9% 15.4% 39.5%
Carmen Bozina 6.2% 7.2% 7.5% 11.6% 11.1% 10.1% 13.3% 14.3% 10.1% 8.6%
Mike Knape 3.6% 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 8.1% 9.4% 9.9% 13.8% 19.9% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.