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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.93vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+0.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.25-0.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.21vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.61vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.08-1.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Georgetown University2.2026.7%1st Place
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4.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.169.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Pennsylvania2.1625.8%1st Place
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4.77University of Vermont1.059.8%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy1.2510.9%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.3%1st Place
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6.39SUNY Maritime College-0.024.3%1st Place
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6.91Princeton University-0.083.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diego Escobar | 26.7% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Henry Haddon | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
Jackson McAliley | 25.8% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Calvin Lamosse | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
Hugh Carty | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 23.0% |
Advik Eswaran | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 34.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.