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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+6.12vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.58vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.89+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+3.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.64+3.92vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.27-3.45vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.88+0.49vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.86-0.42vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.55vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-1.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.22-1.80vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.53-3.45vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.83-0.66vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria0.13-4.42vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.00-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Stanford University2.6120.5%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.0415.3%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Los Angeles1.484.5%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.8%1st Place
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6.04University of Southern California1.898.8%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Berkeley0.983.9%1st Place
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10.92Western Washington University0.642.9%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii2.2716.2%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island0.883.4%1st Place
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9.58Boston University0.863.6%1st Place
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8.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.9%1st Place
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11.0Arizona State University0.742.2%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.822.8%1st Place
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12.2University of California at San Diego0.221.8%1st Place
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11.55San Diego State University0.532.1%1st Place
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15.34California State University Channel Islands-0.830.5%1st Place
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12.58University of Victoria0.131.1%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Davis0.001.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 20.5% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Davis Winsor | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| George Soliman | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Svenja Leonard | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 45.8% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.