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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+8.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.42+8.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+3.96vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.21+1.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.31+0.46vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.91+5.41vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.62+2.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.58+3.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.51-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.62-2.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.43-7.81vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.36vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-2.79vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.88vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.83vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-2.12vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.13-6.52vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-2.15-3.13vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-6.26vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.89-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.3117.5%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.3521.1%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.403.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at San Diego-0.422.5%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.104.8%1st Place
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6.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.839.4%1st Place
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8.93University of Southern California0.215.3%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Berkeley0.315.1%1st Place
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14.41Arizona State University-0.911.8%1st Place
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12.79Arizona State University-0.622.7%1st Place
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14.54University of California at Davis-0.581.6%1st Place
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10.98University of California at San Diego-0.153.5%1st Place
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17.58University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
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11.84University of California at San Diego-0.512.7%1st Place
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12.83University of California at Davis-0.622.7%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles0.436.2%1st Place
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15.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.5%1st Place
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15.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.8%1st Place
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16.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.4%1st Place
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15.17University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
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18.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.7%1st Place
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15.48San Diego State University-1.131.4%1st Place
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19.87California State University Channel Islands-2.150.5%1st Place
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17.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.0%1st Place
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22.32University of California at San Diego-2.890.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 17.5% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 21.1% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 9.6% |
| Blake Grossman | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| John Gallagher | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.7% |
| Zach Doe | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.