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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Michigan2.49+0.41vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.42+0.96vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.03vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University1.91-1.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.80vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.91-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Central Oklahoma-0.74-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Michigan2.490.4%1st Place
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3.96Tulane University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.03Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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3.26Texas A&M University1.910.2%1st Place
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3.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.2%1st Place
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4.73Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Central Oklahoma-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cyr | 35.5% | 25.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Philip Krause | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 4.0% |
| John Reddaway | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 5.1% |
| Colin Feik | 18.3% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 17.7% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 31.4% | 12.2% |
| Tyler Boerner | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.