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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+8.08vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.66vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.76vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.89+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.27-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.22+4.00vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.88+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.86-0.19vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.56vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.64-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.01vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.74-2.85vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria0.13-2.58vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.00-2.96vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.72vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University0.53-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08University of California at Los Angeles1.484.7%1st Place
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3.75Stanford University2.6121.8%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.0415.0%1st Place
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9.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.4%1st Place
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6.03University of Southern California1.899.4%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii2.2715.7%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Berkeley0.984.5%1st Place
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12.0University of California at San Diego0.221.9%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island0.882.9%1st Place
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9.81Boston University0.862.9%1st Place
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8.44California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.7%1st Place
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10.88Western Washington University0.642.5%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.2%1st Place
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11.15Arizona State University0.742.4%1st Place
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12.42University of Victoria0.131.4%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Davis0.001.2%1st Place
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15.28California State University Channel Islands-0.830.4%1st Place
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11.76San Diego State University0.531.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.8% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Davis Winsor | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Svenja Leonard | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Luu | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| George Soliman | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 42.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.