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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.49+0.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.15vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.42-0.93vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.91-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Central Oklahoma-0.74-0.52vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.91-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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2.44University of Michigan2.490.3%1st Place
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3.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.2%1st Place
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4.07Tulane University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.8Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Central Oklahoma-0.740.0%1st Place
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3.15Texas A&M University1.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 5.7% |
| Will Cyr | 31.3% | 28.2% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 19.4% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Philip Krause | 11.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 4.6% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 32.6% | 11.7% |
| Tyler Boerner | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 75.4% |
| Colin Feik | 20.1% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.