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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.43+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.31+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.42+6.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+4.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.58+6.43vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+5.50vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.62+2.10vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.13+3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.21-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-3.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.65vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.83vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-3.87vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.91-5.59vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-3.37vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.62-9.08vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.89-0.62vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-5.40vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.15-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.3116.4%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.3520.9%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.105.8%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles0.436.2%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Berkeley0.316.5%1st Place
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12.65University of California at San Diego-0.422.1%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.403.7%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Davis-0.581.7%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.839.6%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.2%1st Place
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13.1Arizona State University-0.621.8%1st Place
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15.48San Diego State University-1.131.2%1st Place
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10.75University of California at San Diego-0.153.6%1st Place
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8.63University of Southern California0.215.9%1st Place
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11.99University of California at San Diego-0.512.7%1st Place
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17.72University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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15.35University of California at San Diego-1.131.0%1st Place
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16.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.9%1st Place
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15.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.1%1st Place
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14.41Arizona State University-0.912.2%1st Place
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17.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.1%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Davis-0.622.4%1st Place
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22.38University of California at San Diego-2.890.1%1st Place
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18.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.8%1st Place
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19.98California State University Channel Islands-2.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 16.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 20.9% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Blake Grossman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Sean Kenealy | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| John Gallagher | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zach Doe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 49.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.