← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan2.49+1.41vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+1.13vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Central Oklahoma-0.74+2.53vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University1.91-1.71vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.91-2.27vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.42-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.41University of Michigan2.490.4%1st Place
-
3.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.2%1st Place
-
4.02Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
6.53University of Central Oklahoma-0.740.0%1st Place
-
3.29Texas A&M University1.910.2%1st Place
-
4.73Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
-
3.88Tulane University1.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cyr | 35.9% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 18.2% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| John Reddaway | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Boerner | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 77.8% |
| Colin Feik | 15.8% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 34.1% | 10.5% |
| Philip Krause | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.