← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.42+10.68vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.31+5.27vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.21+3.79vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+10.13vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+2.32vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.07vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.62+3.85vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+1.85vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.62+1.70vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+3.65vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-0.58+1.52vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-1.13+1.36vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.46+2.40vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.66vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.51-4.93vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-11.21vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-1.14vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-5.07vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.15-10.11vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands-2.15-1.97vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-0.91-8.65vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-5.41vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-2.89-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.3520.2%1st Place
-
12.68University of California at San Diego-0.422.2%1st Place
-
8.27University of California at Berkeley0.316.9%1st Place
-
4.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.3116.9%1st Place
-
8.79University of Southern California0.215.5%1st Place
-
16.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.8%1st Place
-
9.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.105.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of California at Los Angeles0.436.5%1st Place
-
12.85University of California at Davis-0.622.5%1st Place
-
11.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.403.2%1st Place
-
12.7Arizona State University-0.622.4%1st Place
-
15.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.0%1st Place
-
14.52University of California at Davis-0.581.6%1st Place
-
15.36San Diego State University-1.132.1%1st Place
-
17.4University of California at San Diego-1.461.1%1st Place
-
15.34University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
-
12.07University of California at San Diego-0.513.1%1st Place
-
6.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.838.8%1st Place
-
17.86University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.7%1st Place
-
14.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.7%1st Place
-
10.89University of California at San Diego-0.153.1%1st Place
-
20.03California State University Channel Islands-2.150.6%1st Place
-
14.35Arizona State University-0.911.8%1st Place
-
18.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.9%1st Place
-
22.29University of California at San Diego-2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 20.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 16.9% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Jack Zemke | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Blake Grossman | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% |
| Zach Doe | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.