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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+9.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+4.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.18vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+4.78vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77+8.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.16vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01-1.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University4.26-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.64+3.99vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University2.36+4.48vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.36-6.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego2.89-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.83+4.07vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.69-1.32vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-0.69vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University2.20-0.49vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon2.51-3.24vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.79vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine2.17-3.34vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-4.62vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University0.77+1.22vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-5.56vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.40-3.35vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.86vs Predicted
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26University of Hawaii3.04-14.28vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-2.56vs Predicted
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29University of Texas1.17-7.62vs Predicted
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30University of California at Davis0.42-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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13.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.83Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.1Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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15.48Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.57University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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13.68Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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15.31Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.51Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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13.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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16.66University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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16.38California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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23.22Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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17.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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22.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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24.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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21.38University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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24.13University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.