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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.77vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+8.68vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+13.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.62+4.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42+3.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13+5.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+3.42vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.13+2.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.58+0.42vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.62-2.02vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.51-5.90vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California0.21-10.30vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-2.59vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-6.22vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.15-11.30vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.91-8.58vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-2.15-3.97vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.89-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.3520.5%1st Place
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4.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.3119.8%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.403.2%1st Place
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9.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.2%1st Place
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18.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.8%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Los Angeles0.437.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Berkeley0.316.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Davis-0.622.8%1st Place
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12.36University of California at San Diego-0.422.7%1st Place
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15.21University of California at San Diego-1.131.5%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.105.0%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.4%1st Place
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15.4San Diego State University-1.131.3%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-0.581.6%1st Place
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12.98Arizona State University-0.622.0%1st Place
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16.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.2%1st Place
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17.43University of California at San Diego-1.461.2%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego-0.512.6%1st Place
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8.7University of Southern California0.216.0%1st Place
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17.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.9%1st Place
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14.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.8%1st Place
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10.7University of California at San Diego-0.153.2%1st Place
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14.42Arizona State University-0.911.5%1st Place
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20.03California State University Channel Islands-2.150.6%1st Place
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22.32University of California at San Diego-2.890.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 19.8% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Zemke | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Blake Grossman | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
| Zach Doe | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.