← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
3.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.9
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.65+7.59vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.69+11.64vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University4.36+2.66vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College3.24+6.85vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii3.04+6.82vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University2.36+9.82vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.95+0.42vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.73vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University4.05-2.11vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles1.83+8.31vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University4.26-4.91vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+10.33vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University2.20+3.37vs Predicted
-
14California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+2.09vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University4.01-7.86vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California2.64-2.24vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego2.89-4.21vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-9.38vs Predicted
-
19University of Texas1.17+2.49vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine2.17-3.24vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.84vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands2.77-9.27vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.32vs Predicted
-
24Northwestern University2.37-8.36vs Predicted
-
25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-11.74vs Predicted
-
26University of Oregon2.51-11.39vs Predicted
-
27University of California at Davis0.42-2.93vs Predicted
-
29University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-4.40vs Predicted
-
30Arizona State University0.77-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.59College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
13.64Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
5.66Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
10.85Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
11.82University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
-
15.82Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.42Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
-
6.89Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
18.31University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
6.09Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
22.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
-
16.37Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
-
16.09California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
-
7.14Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
13.76University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
12.79University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.62U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
21.49University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
-
16.76University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
17.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
-
20.68University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
-
15.64Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
-
13.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
14.61University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
-
24.07University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
24.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
-
22.82Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.