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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+10.88vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+4.03vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+1.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24+5.70vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+1.06vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77+6.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.96vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.69+4.58vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.64+4.04vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon2.51+3.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego2.89+1.10vs Predicted
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13Fordham University4.26-6.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.60vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.04-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.12vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.61vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University2.36-2.31vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.79vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University2.20-3.55vs Predicted
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21University of Texas1.17+0.57vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University0.77+1.14vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University2.37-7.20vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine2.17-7.24vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.82vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.42-1.71vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley1.40-6.86vs Predicted
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28California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-11.82vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.03Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.7Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.39California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.58Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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14.04University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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18.12University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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13.39California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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15.69Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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17.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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16.45Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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21.57University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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23.14Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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15.8Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.76University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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22.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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24.29University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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20.14University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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16.18California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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24.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.