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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.79vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.19vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+6.32vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.21+4.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.43+2.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+4.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.62+3.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.58+4.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.42+1.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.94vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+3.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.17vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-0.39vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.43vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.13-2.62vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.91-4.63vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.62-7.23vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.15-1.21vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-3.34vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-5.28vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-9.18vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.89-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.3522.3%1st Place
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4.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.3119.6%1st Place
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9.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.5%1st Place
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8.55University of Southern California0.216.2%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Los Angeles0.436.2%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.104.6%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.6%1st Place
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10.69University of California at San Diego-0.153.6%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Davis-0.622.2%1st Place
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14.6University of California at Davis-0.581.5%1st Place
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12.3University of California at San Diego-0.422.6%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Berkeley0.316.4%1st Place
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16.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.5%1st Place
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15.17University of California at San Diego-1.131.9%1st Place
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11.98University of California at San Diego-0.513.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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17.43University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
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15.38San Diego State University-1.131.1%1st Place
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14.37Arizona State University-0.912.1%1st Place
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12.77Arizona State University-0.622.3%1st Place
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19.79California State University Channel Islands-2.150.3%1st Place
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18.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
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17.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.9%1st Place
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14.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.1%1st Place
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22.21University of California at San Diego-2.890.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 22.3% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 19.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Blake Grossman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Sean Kenealy | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Zach Doe | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.