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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+10.40vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.24+8.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+5.44vs Predicted
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4Fordham University4.26+2.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+8.31vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36-0.26vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+8.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.82+12.38vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-4.28vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.36+3.60vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University2.37+2.00vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.40+4.94vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-8.99vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.17+3.98vs Predicted
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18California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-2.09vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego2.89-6.61vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University2.20-3.89vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-8.32vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands2.77-9.28vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.42+0.90vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon2.51-9.54vs Predicted
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25University of Southern California2.64-11.11vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-1.76vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine0.93-5.35vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-6.75vs Predicted
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30Arizona State University0.77-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.42Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.44College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.04Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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13.31Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.99Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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16.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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22.38University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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15.6Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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15.0Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.72California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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19.94University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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20.98University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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15.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
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16.11Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.72California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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23.9University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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24.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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21.65University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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21.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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22.36Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.