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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.25+3.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.92vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.28vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.08-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05-3.16vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28U. S. Naval Academy1.2512.3%1st Place
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2.92Georgetown University2.2026.3%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1610.2%1st Place
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3.07University of Pennsylvania2.1624.6%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.0%1st Place
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5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.0%1st Place
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6.98Princeton University-0.082.8%1st Place
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4.84University of Vermont1.059.3%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Maritime College-0.023.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Hugh Carty | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
Diego Escobar | 26.3% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Henry Haddon | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
Jackson McAliley | 24.6% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% |
Advik Eswaran | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 35.0% |
Calvin Lamosse | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.