Race 11A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hannah Darrin 20.9% 20.6% 15.7% 12.5% 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Felipe Lopez 27.2% 21.7% 15.8% 14.6% 9.1% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.5%
Craig Emmes 7.8% 7.1% 9.5% 9.7% 10.0% 11.9% 14.4% 12.0% 12.0% 5.6%
Mike Knape 3.0% 4.6% 6.4% 6.7% 8.2% 9.4% 11.7% 13.8% 16.2% 20.0%
Carmen Bozina 8.0% 7.5% 8.1% 9.4% 9.2% 12.0% 13.9% 12.9% 11.4% 7.6%
Katherine Stephens 10.0% 9.6% 11.0% 11.9% 13.8% 11.6% 9.8% 11.3% 7.8% 3.2%
Aike Burger 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 8.0% 12.2% 17.0% 40.0%
Bryan Rust 8.7% 10.0% 12.7% 9.7% 13.0% 14.1% 9.9% 9.3% 7.9% 4.7%
Andrew Wien 4.9% 6.1% 7.2% 8.3% 10.4% 9.1% 11.2% 13.8% 16.1% 12.9%
Logan Swartz 7.4% 10.5% 10.6% 12.5% 11.1% 10.5% 12.7% 10.6% 9.5% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.