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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+6.08vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+4.75vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+3.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+9.48vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+6.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University4.26+0.14vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36+8.10vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.24+2.02vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-3.36vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.87vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.63vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-3.10vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+2.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego2.89-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.82+7.40vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.40+3.84vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.64-3.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.26vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon2.51-4.75vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy3.67-11.50vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands2.77-8.13vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine0.93-0.03vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University2.37-7.67vs Predicted
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24University of Texas1.17-2.90vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-3.36vs Predicted
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26Western Washington University2.20-10.08vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-3.98vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis0.42-5.23vs Predicted
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30Arizona State University0.77-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.82Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.48Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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6.14Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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15.1Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.87California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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12.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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15.76California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
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22.4University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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19.84University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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16.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.87California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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21.97University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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15.33Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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21.1University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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21.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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15.92Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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24.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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23.77University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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22.39Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.