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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+8.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.89+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+0.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.86+4.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.00+7.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.27-3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.13+3.70vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74+1.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.88-1.43vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.50vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.64-1.98vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.53-2.42vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-6.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.22-4.00vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22University of California at Los Angeles1.483.5%1st Place
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3.67Stanford University2.6122.9%1st Place
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6.13University of Southern California1.899.0%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.0414.5%1st Place
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9.96Boston University0.863.3%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Davis0.001.4%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Berkeley0.984.3%1st Place
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4.6University of Hawaii2.2715.8%1st Place
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12.7University of Victoria0.131.7%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University0.742.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island0.883.2%1st Place
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9.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.5%1st Place
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11.02Western Washington University0.642.0%1st Place
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11.58San Diego State University0.532.4%1st Place
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8.41California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.5%1st Place
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12.0University of California at San Diego0.222.1%1st Place
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15.13California State University Channel Islands-0.830.4%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 22.9% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
| Will Cornell | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 43.0% |
| George Soliman | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.