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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.44vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.68vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+3.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+9.39vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+0.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.40vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64+6.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.89+3.14vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24+0.56vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.04+0.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+5.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.40+6.78vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.59vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37+0.06vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.93+4.96vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.17+3.00vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.08vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University2.36-4.82vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University2.20-5.20vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.42+1.88vs Predicted
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23Old Dominion University4.01-15.81vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.82-1.40vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-4.58vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon2.51-13.02vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University0.77-5.48vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-5.00vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands2.77-17.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.39Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.96Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.14University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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17.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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19.78University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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15.59California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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15.06Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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21.96University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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21.0University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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12.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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15.18Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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15.8Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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23.88University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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22.6University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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21.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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22.52Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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24.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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12.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.