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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88+3.72vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+3.95vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.86+1.98vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.13+2.43vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.89-5.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.00-0.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-4.02vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.64-4.19vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-6.49vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.22-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Stanford University2.6120.4%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.0414.8%1st Place
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4.53University of Hawaii2.2715.4%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Berkeley0.985.0%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Los Angeles1.484.5%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island0.883.9%1st Place
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10.95Arizona State University0.742.6%1st Place
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9.98Boston University0.863.6%1st Place
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8.71California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.3%1st Place
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12.43University of Victoria0.131.4%1st Place
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11.69San Diego State University0.532.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Southern California1.899.6%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Davis0.001.5%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.822.6%1st Place
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10.81Western Washington University0.642.8%1st Place
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9.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.1%1st Place
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15.27California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
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12.22University of California at San Diego0.221.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 20.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Luu | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Davis Winsor | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| George Soliman | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 42.9% |
| Svenja Leonard | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.