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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+5.69vs Predicted
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2Fordham University4.26+3.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+10.14vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+8.49vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.37vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.06vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-3.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.67vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University2.37+3.95vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.24-1.01vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-1.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.43vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+6.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego2.89-3.98vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.65-8.34vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.17+3.05vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University2.36-3.86vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University0.77+2.67vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon2.51-6.76vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine0.93+0.09vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University2.20-6.84vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.82-1.39vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.40-5.06vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.42-2.41vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-3.90vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands2.77-16.04vs Predicted
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30California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-14.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.98Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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13.14Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.06Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.49University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.96California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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14.95Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.99Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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16.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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21.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at San Diego2.890.0%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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21.05University of Texas1.170.0%1st Place
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15.14Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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22.67Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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22.09University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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16.16Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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22.61University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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19.94University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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23.59University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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24.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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12.96California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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15.55California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 7.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.