← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+4.75vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.91+3.59vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.47+4.04vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.89+5.79vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.34vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.12+2.81vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.62+3.98vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University4.19-3.48vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University3.40-1.61vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.42vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands0.37+10.26vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii-0.80+13.32vs Predicted
-
13Santa Clara University1.42+3.56vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles0.44+6.74vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon0.46+5.97vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.74vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University1.61-1.16vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.10vs Predicted
-
19California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-6.95vs Predicted
-
20Western Washington University1.02-1.38vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine1.71-5.79vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego1.81-6.95vs Predicted
-
23University of Southern California2.47-11.18vs Predicted
-
25Arizona State University1.51-8.49vs Predicted
-
26California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.74vs Predicted
-
27University of California at Santa Cruz0.27-5.33vs Predicted
-
28University of California at Berkeley0.02-5.64vs Predicted
-
29University of Texas-0.22-5.61vs Predicted
-
30University of California at Davis-0.36-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.75Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
5.59Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
-
7.04Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.79Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.81College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.98Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
4.52Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
-
7.39Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
21.26California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
25.32University of Hawaii-0.800.0%1st Place
-
16.56Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
20.74University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
20.97University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
11.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
-
15.84Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
-
16.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.05California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
18.62Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
15.21University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.82University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
-
16.51Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
21.26California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
21.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
-
22.36University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
-
23.39University of Texas-0.220.0%1st Place
-
23.69University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 18.2% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Stewart | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 40.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Powell | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lynch | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Welch | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.