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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.9
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+7.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+2.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+0.77vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+11.54vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12+2.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90+2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii-0.80+16.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.44+11.87vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.61+5.79vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+1.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-0.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.70vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.81-0.21vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.40-8.65vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.46+4.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.27+3.77vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University3.47-12.72vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.02-2.42vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.74vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-5.97vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.74vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University1.51-8.58vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.36-1.98vs Predicted
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27University of Texas-0.22-3.61vs Predicted
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28University of Southern California2.47-16.73vs Predicted
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29University of California at Irvine1.71-13.83vs Predicted
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30University of California at Berkeley0.02-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.62Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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5.8Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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16.54Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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24.7University of Hawaii-0.800.0%1st Place
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20.87University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.79Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.05California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.33Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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14.79University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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7.35Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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21.04University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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21.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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18.58Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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21.26California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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17.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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21.26California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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16.42Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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24.02University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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23.39University of Texas-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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22.4University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Stewart | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| George Powell | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lynch | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Welch | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.