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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.42vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.59vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.68+3.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.19+5.31vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66+1.29vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.19+3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.90-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.70vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.36-1.34vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.25-0.50vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.81-5.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-3.12vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-5.52vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.08-4.80vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.40-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University3.3039.6%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Los Angeles1.798.2%1st Place
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6.08University of Hawaii1.567.8%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.7%1st Place
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6.52California Poly Maritime Academy1.626.7%1st Place
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9.77University of California at San Diego0.682.8%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.191.3%1st Place
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9.29Arizona State University0.663.0%1st Place
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12.27San Diego State University-0.191.9%1st Place
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8.53University of Southern California0.904.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.5%1st Place
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10.66Western Washington University0.361.8%1st Place
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12.5University of Victoria-0.251.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Washington0.813.5%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Davis-0.191.6%1st Place
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10.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.2%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Berkeley-0.081.4%1st Place
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17.08California State University Channel Islands-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 39.6% | 25.3% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ariana Fernandez | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 4.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 4.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 4.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| Max Case | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 3.5% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.