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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+3.50vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+4.94vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+2.63vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.40+3.33vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+5.38vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.89+3.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.56vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.120.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.15vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+1.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.60+4.17vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02+6.39vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.77vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42+1.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.35+0.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.85vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.42+2.69vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.61-3.80vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-3.67vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon0.76-2.82vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.25vs Predicted
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24University of Texas-0.22-0.74vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz0.27-3.43vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University1.51-10.39vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-0.36-3.61vs Predicted
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28University of California at Berkeley0.02-5.83vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands0.37-8.23vs Predicted
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30University of Hawaii-0.80-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.63Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.44Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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5.44Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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11.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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18.39Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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20.77California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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15.81Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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16.22University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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11.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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20.69University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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15.2Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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16.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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19.18University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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20.75University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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23.26University of Texas-0.220.0%1st Place
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21.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
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15.61Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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23.39University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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22.17University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
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20.77California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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24.75University of Hawaii-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lynch | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| George Powell | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Welch | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Stewart | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.