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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.25+7.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.33+5.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+5.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.41+9.57vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.01+1.72vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+0.52vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.94+3.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+1.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.75-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-6.35vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+3.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-0.45vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.09-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.41-2.57vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.94-0.86vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-3.08+2.06vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.15-2.27vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.21-7.35vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.11-4.36vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.11-10.02vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.77-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.6026.9%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Barbara0.5711.3%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Berkeley-0.253.2%1st Place
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9.74University of California at San Diego-0.334.3%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.234.0%1st Place
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15.57University of California at Davis-1.411.6%1st Place
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8.72University of Southern California-0.016.1%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.275.6%1st Place
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7.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.359.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at San Diego-0.942.2%1st Place
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12.08University of California at San Diego-0.702.6%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.4%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Berkeley-0.752.5%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.307.4%1st Place
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18.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.930.9%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.1%1st Place
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14.16San Diego State University-1.091.6%1st Place
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15.43University of California at San Diego-1.411.4%1st Place
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18.14California State University Channel Islands-1.940.8%1st Place
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22.06University of California at San Diego-3.080.2%1st Place
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18.73University of California at Davis-2.150.8%1st Place
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14.65Arizona State University-1.211.9%1st Place
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18.64Arizona State University-2.110.7%1st Place
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13.98University of California at San Diego-1.111.4%1st Place
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17.23University of California at Los Angeles-1.771.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 26.9% | 22.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Lavine | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| samson grunwald | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Summer Drake | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 46.5% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% |
| William Bailly | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Perkins | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.