Race 6B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kathryn Metscher 5.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.3% 10.2% 11.0% 12.2% 14.0% 13.0% 9.2% 1.7%
Sara Morgan Watters 27.1% 21.0% 15.8% 13.0% 9.8% 6.0% 3.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Corey Hall 8.6% 11.0% 9.6% 10.6% 12.1% 11.6% 11.4% 9.8% 10.0% 4.7% 0.6%
Mary Cummins 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 8.0% 8.1% 15.7% 32.2% 14.3%
Morgan Wilson 12.1% 12.2% 14.0% 9.9% 12.3% 10.7% 9.9% 7.6% 6.3% 4.6% 0.4%
Abby Featherstone 10.7% 10.7% 11.1% 14.0% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 8.8% 7.7% 4.3% 0.9%
Emilie Mademann 7.9% 8.3% 9.4% 9.7% 11.7% 9.6% 11.3% 11.5% 11.4% 7.2% 2.0%
Sara Burke 6.5% 5.9% 6.4% 9.3% 8.8% 11.0% 10.6% 12.5% 12.8% 12.8% 3.4%
Francesca Ferrero 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 2.7% 3.9% 11.9% 73.4%
Lauren Burke 7.6% 6.8% 10.1% 8.5% 7.6% 11.1% 10.2% 13.4% 12.0% 9.8% 2.9%
Emily Billing 11.2% 12.7% 12.7% 10.9% 11.6% 11.2% 10.8% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.