Race 12A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hannah Darrin 22.7% 18.3% 16.7% 11.6% 11.4% 8.5% 4.4% 4.4% 1.0% 1.0%
Craig Emmes 8.5% 6.9% 8.9% 10.1% 9.6% 13.7% 11.4% 12.9% 11.8% 6.2%
Felipe Lopez 25.4% 20.7% 18.5% 14.1% 9.1% 5.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Mike Knape 3.8% 4.1% 5.7% 7.2% 7.9% 9.5% 11.3% 13.3% 16.9% 20.3%
Aike Burger 2.7% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 4.1% 7.1% 6.9% 10.6% 17.1% 38.8%
Katherine Stephens 11.1% 10.1% 9.0% 11.6% 12.4% 11.8% 13.6% 9.1% 7.1% 4.2%
Bryan Rust 7.4% 10.7% 10.3% 12.4% 13.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.1% 7.2% 4.2%
Logan Swartz 7.5% 11.2% 10.6% 11.4% 11.6% 12.0% 12.3% 10.8% 8.4% 4.2%
Andrew Wien 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 8.6% 10.2% 9.8% 11.8% 13.8% 15.8% 12.5%
Carmen Bozina 5.8% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 10.5% 10.7% 11.7% 12.4% 14.3% 8.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.