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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.33+5.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.94+7.64vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.01+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70+4.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.99vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.84+8.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.32vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.09+2.40vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.11+6.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.41+1.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-0.80vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+0.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.75-4.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.15+1.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.77-1.22vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-3.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.41-4.90vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-10.59vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.21-7.97vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-5.01vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-3.08-1.99vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.11-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.6030.9%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.308.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara0.5710.7%1st Place
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9.21University of California at San Diego-0.334.5%1st Place
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12.64University of California at San Diego-0.942.2%1st Place
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8.15University of Southern California-0.015.7%1st Place
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11.61University of California at San Diego-0.703.0%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Berkeley-0.254.5%1st Place
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17.27California State University Channel Islands-1.841.1%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Los Angeles-0.234.2%1st Place
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13.4San Diego State University-1.091.8%1st Place
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18.6Arizona State University-2.110.5%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Davis-1.411.9%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.9%1st Place
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15.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.392.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Berkeley-0.752.1%1st Place
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18.48University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.770.9%1st Place
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15.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.7%1st Place
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15.1University of California at San Diego-1.412.1%1st Place
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10.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.474.0%1st Place
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14.03Arizona State University-1.211.7%1st Place
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17.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.930.7%1st Place
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22.01University of California at San Diego-3.080.2%1st Place
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13.75University of California at San Diego-1.112.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 30.9% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Logan Lavine | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Moran | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| samson grunwald | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 11.1% |
| Tyler Perkins | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Bailly | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 47.4% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.