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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+20.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.62+9.10vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+6.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+1.89vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19-0.17vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+0.21vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.73-0.58vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-0.89vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.40-1.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.82vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.21+2.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.60+2.99vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.90vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii-0.80+10.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.90-6.32vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.18vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.42-1.04vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.44+2.23vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine1.35-2.69vs Predicted
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21Northwestern University1.61-5.03vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University1.51-5.14vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley0.02-1.11vs Predicted
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25University of Texas-0.22-1.27vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz0.27-4.12vs Predicted
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27University of Southern California2.47-15.38vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-0.36-4.06vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands0.37-7.50vs Predicted
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30University of Oregon0.76-10.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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21.5California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.62Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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13.12Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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15.99University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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12.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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25.1University of Hawaii-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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17.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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16.96Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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21.23University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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17.31University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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15.97Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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16.86Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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22.89University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
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23.73University of Texas-0.220.0%1st Place
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21.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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23.94University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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21.5California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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19.64University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lynch | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Stewart | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Welch | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.