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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.40+7.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.89+2.26vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.53vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36-0.91vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.47vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.21+0.03vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68-5.62vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.28-3.35vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.38-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.32-6.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.93-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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5.53California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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5.53California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.03Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.29Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington2.280.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Hawaii1.380.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 16.4% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 25.2% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hana Bruno | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 41.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.