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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+2.47vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.36+2.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.89+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.13vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.32-0.36vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.93+0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.28-4.30vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.38-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.40-3.86vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.21-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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6.46Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.57California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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5.57California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Hawaii1.380.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.02Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 22.7% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 16.4% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 8.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Hana Bruno | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.