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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+6.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.01+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.25+5.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.33+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+5.94vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.84+9.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-3.08+12.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.94+2.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.41+4.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.15+6.77vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.09+0.63vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+1.36vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+0.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.70-4.52vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.77+0.07vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-8.45vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.11-0.43vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.11-6.63vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.21-6.82vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.41-6.86vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93-5.01vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley-0.75-12.58vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-14.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.307.0%1st Place
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2.97California Poly Maritime Academy1.6031.3%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara0.5711.3%1st Place
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8.1University of Southern California-0.015.5%1st Place
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10.0University of California at Berkeley-0.254.4%1st Place
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9.09University of California at San Diego-0.334.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Los Angeles-1.033.1%1st Place
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17.17California State University Channel Islands-1.841.2%1st Place
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21.96University of California at San Diego-3.080.4%1st Place
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12.5University of California at San Diego-0.942.5%1st Place
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15.03University of California at Davis-1.411.7%1st Place
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18.77University of California at Davis-2.150.9%1st Place
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13.63San Diego State University-1.092.2%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.6%1st Place
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15.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.2%1st Place
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11.48University of California at San Diego-0.702.8%1st Place
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17.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.771.1%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Los Angeles-0.234.9%1st Place
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18.57Arizona State University-2.110.6%1st Place
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13.37University of California at San Diego-1.112.0%1st Place
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14.18Arizona State University-1.211.5%1st Place
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15.14University of California at San Diego-1.411.4%1st Place
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17.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.0%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Berkeley-0.753.5%1st Place
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10.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Drake | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 31.3% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Liam Moran | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 47.6% |
| Logan Lavine | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% |
| Adeline Spencer | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Perkins | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Bailly | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.