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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.36+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.89+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-0.58vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.32+0.84vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.00vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.21-2.02vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.51vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.38-2.93vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.28-5.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.35-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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5.29University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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6.5Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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5.49California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.98Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.49California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Hawaii1.380.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.7% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hana Bruno | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.