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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.81+5.72vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.25+8.52vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.56+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.90+1.39vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66+1.46vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.36+1.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-4.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.68-3.27vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.19-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-3.05vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.19-4.68vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.40-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Stanford University3.3040.6%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles1.798.9%1st Place
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8.72University of Washington0.813.9%1st Place
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12.52University of Victoria-0.251.3%1st Place
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6.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.626.8%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii1.567.4%1st Place
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8.39University of Southern California0.904.6%1st Place
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9.46Arizona State University0.662.8%1st Place
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10.53Western Washington University0.362.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.448.8%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.9%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Berkeley-0.081.5%1st Place
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9.73University of California at San Diego0.682.2%1st Place
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12.31San Diego State University-0.190.9%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Davis-0.191.1%1st Place
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10.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.5%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Santa Barbara-0.191.7%1st Place
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17.22California State University Channel Islands-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 40.6% | 26.5% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 3.7% |
| Clay Myers | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| Noah Barton | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Burton | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 2.5% |
| Max Case | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Ariana Fernandez | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 3.6% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.