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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.70vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+1.93vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.68-1.55vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.38+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego2.89-2.80vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.21-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.32-3.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.28-5.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.35-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.12Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.7California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Hawaii1.380.0%1st Place
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5.2University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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6.99Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 23.5% | 20.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hana Bruno | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.