← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.64+2.18vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+3.47vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+4.62vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.70+1.68vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+4.34vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+2.69vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.09vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.44+1.74vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.52+0.34vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.54-1.82vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.07-1.53vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii0.12-2.01vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-0.64-0.50vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington-1.39-4.51vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-0.39-3.27vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-1.27-1.80vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-1.34-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.18Stanford University2.6427.9%1st Place
-
5.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.7411.9%1st Place
-
7.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.6%1st Place
-
5.68University of Hawaii1.709.7%1st Place
-
9.34University of California at Santa Cruz1.034.4%1st Place
-
8.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.723.6%1st Place
-
5.91University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.3%1st Place
-
9.74Jacksonville University0.443.4%1st Place
-
9.34University of California at San Diego0.523.2%1st Place
-
8.09University of California at Berkeley0.984.9%1st Place
-
9.18Western Washington University0.543.4%1st Place
-
10.47University of California at Davis0.072.6%1st Place
-
10.99University of Hawaii0.122.4%1st Place
-
13.5University of Victoria-0.640.9%1st Place
-
10.49University of Washington-1.393.5%1st Place
-
12.73Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
-
15.2San Diego State University-1.270.4%1st Place
-
15.37California State University Channel Islands-1.340.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 27.9% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Lahr | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Milne | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| John Alexander | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 11.6% |
| Emily Smith | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 33.4% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.