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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.36+2.26vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+3.68vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35+3.43vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.19-0.85vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.21-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.89-4.74vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.08vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.28-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.32-5.88vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.40-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.68Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii2.190.1%1st Place
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7.22Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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5.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.8% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 21.0% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hanson | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.