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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.89+3.32vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.21+4.17vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.68-1.50vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.28-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-4.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.32-4.06vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.23vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.58-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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7.17Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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6.54Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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5.77California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Hawaii1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 24.5% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Tahnee Allman | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.