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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.89+3.46vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.75vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.21+3.30vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+0.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.28+0.02vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-1.46vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.25vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.32-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.35-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.19-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.46University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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5.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.3Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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6.54Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Hawaii2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 21.7% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hanson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.