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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.57vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.44+5.70vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.18vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54+2.45vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.36vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.12+2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.52-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.39-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-2.24vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.27+1.33vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.34+0.35vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.64-2.28vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.39-3.97vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Stanford University2.6423.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Hawaii2.4121.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.3%1st Place
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9.7Jacksonville University0.442.4%1st Place
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7.9California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.4%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Los Angeles1.308.9%1st Place
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9.45Western Washington University0.543.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.2%1st Place
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11.08University of Hawaii0.122.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Berkeley0.984.5%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego0.523.5%1st Place
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10.35University of Washington-1.392.7%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Davis0.072.8%1st Place
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15.33San Diego State University-1.270.7%1st Place
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15.35California State University Channel Islands-1.340.5%1st Place
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13.72University of Victoria-0.641.0%1st Place
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13.03Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
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8.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.723.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 23.0% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 21.2% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 22.2% | 34.5% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 35.5% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Milne | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.