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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.36+3.24vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.29+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68-2.48vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.31vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.31vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.21-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego2.19-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.40-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.28-5.88vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.38-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Hawaii3.290.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.69California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.69California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.04Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Washington2.280.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Hawaii1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 14.3% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.3% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Hana Bruno | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.