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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+2.19vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.49+0.04vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.94-1.96vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.88-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.58-4.26vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.40-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound0.55-5.87vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.64-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Washington2.870.2%1st Place
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3.69University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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6.04Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.04Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.96Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 24.6% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Connor Bescos | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Nelson | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Teno | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Shea Artis | 8.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Meigan Blunt | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 32.3% |
| John Elam | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 24.5% |
| Eric Du | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.