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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.89vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.25+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05-0.26vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.08+1.01vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.79vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Georgetown University2.2025.5%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.169.9%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania2.1624.9%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy1.2512.4%1st Place
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4.74University of Vermont1.0510.2%1st Place
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7.01Princeton University-0.082.4%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.5%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.7%1st Place
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6.45SUNY Maritime College-0.024.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Diego Escobar | 25.5% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Henry Haddon | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
Jackson McAliley | 24.9% | 22.6% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Hugh Carty | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
Calvin Lamosse | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
Advik Eswaran | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 35.7% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.