Race 11A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Pokras 21.4% 17.7% 17.1% 14.1% 10.5% 8.0% 4.4% 2.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 10.9% 12.1% 12.3% 11.0% 11.7% 10.5% 10.7% 8.1% 5.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
James Foster 14.4% 14.4% 14.1% 13.4% 10.6% 10.6% 8.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Parish 4.3% 5.4% 6.7% 7.7% 8.2% 9.9% 9.4% 11.2% 11.1% 10.4% 9.9% 5.8% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 15.3% 16.8% 14.0% 12.1% 10.8% 9.6% 8.5% 5.2% 3.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
John Silvestri 6.3% 7.4% 6.7% 7.3% 9.3% 8.7% 11.9% 10.6% 11.7% 9.5% 7.2% 3.4% 0.0%
Eric Alamillo 5.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.6% 8.3% 7.8% 10.2% 9.3% 11.8% 12.1% 9.8% 7.1% 0.0%
Joshua Goldberg 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 7.5% 9.1% 10.7% 20.2% 26.6% 0.0%
Tahnee Allman 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 4.5% 6.5% 6.5% 10.0% 11.2% 13.9% 16.7% 19.3% 0.0%
Peter McGrath 6.1% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 9.1% 7.1% 9.7% 10.7% 11.8% 13.4% 9.2% 5.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Weis 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 13.0% 19.3% 29.9% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 8.9% 8.2% 8.3% 12.2% 10.0% 12.7% 9.8% 10.7% 7.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 8.9% 8.2% 8.3% 12.2% 10.0% 12.7% 9.8% 10.7% 7.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.