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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.70+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.07+6.60vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.44+4.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+3.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.52+1.47vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.12+0.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.21vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.54-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.39-3.46vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72-6.30vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.34-0.59vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.27-1.73vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Stanford University2.6426.4%1st Place
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5.55University of Hawaii1.7011.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.7411.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at Davis0.072.8%1st Place
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9.69Jacksonville University0.443.8%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.7%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Los Angeles1.308.7%1st Place
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9.47University of California at San Diego0.523.4%1st Place
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7.56California Poly Maritime Academy0.976.3%1st Place
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10.79University of Hawaii0.122.7%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Berkeley0.984.7%1st Place
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9.19Western Washington University0.544.9%1st Place
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13.36University of Victoria-0.641.2%1st Place
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10.54University of Washington-1.392.4%1st Place
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8.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.724.7%1st Place
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15.41California State University Channel Islands-1.340.9%1st Place
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15.27San Diego State University-1.270.4%1st Place
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12.98Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 26.4% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Louttit | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% |
| Emily Smith | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Milne | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 22.8% | 35.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 34.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.