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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+2.66vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.83vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+3.68vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.29+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.28+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.40+2.20vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21-0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.19-1.70vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-5.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.35-1.41vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego2.19-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.68Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii3.290.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Washington2.280.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.2Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.59University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 21.3% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hanson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.