Race 13A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Carney 15.6% 13.4% 15.2% 13.2% 12.5% 10.8% 6.6% 5.6% 3.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 7.6% 9.9% 9.2% 11.2% 11.4% 9.1% 11.3% 10.4% 8.6% 7.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 12.4% 10.2% 11.8% 11.3% 12.7% 11.8% 10.5% 7.8% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Eric Alamillo 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 7.7% 8.3% 9.1% 9.8% 11.2% 11.3% 12.5% 9.6% 6.5% 0.0%
Peter McGrath 4.6% 5.8% 6.5% 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 12.4% 12.8% 10.2% 9.0% 6.3% 0.0%
Sam Parish 5.1% 5.6% 6.6% 7.0% 6.4% 9.8% 10.8% 11.6% 12.5% 11.3% 9.5% 3.8% 0.0%
John Silvestri 6.1% 7.8% 7.3% 9.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.2% 11.1% 9.9% 10.2% 6.4% 3.2% 0.0%
Adam Pokras 23.6% 20.0% 14.1% 12.0% 10.5% 8.2% 5.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
James Foster 14.7% 16.4% 14.6% 12.7% 11.6% 9.6% 8.6% 6.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Weis 2.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 4.6% 5.5% 7.1% 8.3% 16.0% 18.6% 25.7% 0.0%
Joshua Goldberg 2.2% 1.5% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 5.0% 5.9% 5.7% 11.0% 12.7% 21.3% 24.8% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 7.6% 9.9% 9.2% 11.2% 11.4% 9.1% 11.3% 10.4% 8.6% 7.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Hana Bruno 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 2.2% 2.9% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 11.1% 11.9% 19.0% 27.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.