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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.31vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.72+3.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.12+4.05vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54+1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.52+0.33vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.44-0.08vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-3.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.64-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.39-4.51vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.39-3.07vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.34-1.64vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.27-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Stanford University2.6423.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Hawaii2.4120.8%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.748.9%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Los Angeles1.308.3%1st Place
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8.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.723.7%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.9%1st Place
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11.05University of Hawaii0.122.4%1st Place
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9.36Western Washington University0.543.3%1st Place
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9.33University of California at San Diego0.523.8%1st Place
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9.92Jacksonville University0.442.9%1st Place
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7.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.976.1%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Berkeley0.984.7%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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13.38University of Victoria-0.641.4%1st Place
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10.49University of Washington-1.392.2%1st Place
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12.93Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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15.36California State University Channel Islands-1.340.4%1st Place
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15.32San Diego State University-1.270.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 23.2% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 20.8% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| John Alexander | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Barney | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ben Louttit | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 11.9% |
| Emily Smith | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 8.6% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 21.2% | 35.4% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.