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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.64+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.51+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.96+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.74+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.25+4.10vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.67+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.46-0.63vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.04-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.13-2.20vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.23-3.66vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.03-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.64-2.66vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.47-4.17vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-2.30-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Western Washington University0.648.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Washington0.5110.2%1st Place
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5.23University of British Columbia0.9614.3%1st Place
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6.32University of Washington0.749.4%1st Place
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9.1University of Victoria-0.254.2%1st Place
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6.3Western Washington University0.679.4%1st Place
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7.87University of Oregon0.115.9%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington0.467.0%1st Place
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8.04Oregon State University0.045.9%1st Place
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7.8University of Victoria0.136.6%1st Place
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7.34Western Washington University0.237.0%1st Place
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8.32Western Washington University0.035.5%1st Place
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10.34University of Victoria-0.642.8%1st Place
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9.83Western Washington University-0.473.2%1st Place
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13.83University of British Columbia-2.300.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Avey | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Lemke | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 6.3% |
| Jack Rector | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.