← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.04+4.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.29+2.40vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington2.28+3.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii3.68-1.45vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University2.21+0.15vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego2.19-0.90vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.38+0.03vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University3.36-6.99vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.45-5.55vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.40-3.77vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine1.35-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.08University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of Hawaii3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.68California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Washington2.280.0%1st Place
-
3.55University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
5.68California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
7.15Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
-
9.03University of Hawaii1.380.0%1st Place
-
4.01Salve Regina University3.360.2%1st Place
-
6.45Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.23University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
-
9.3University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.1% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Hana Bruno | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 15.7% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.