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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+5.18vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.40vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.07-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.28-2.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29-3.32vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.40vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.15-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65-4.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.87-3.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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9.4California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.06Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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4.68Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.4California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Icard | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 26.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 17.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 11.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wenner | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 26.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 19.0% | 54.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.