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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.64+5.29vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.04+6.24vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.46+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.74+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+1.12vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.23+1.41vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.67-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.96-3.86vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.13-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.25-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-2.30+1.82vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.47-3.16vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.03-5.78vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.64-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Western Washington University0.649.2%1st Place
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8.24Oregon State University0.045.4%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington0.467.2%1st Place
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6.22University of Washington0.749.5%1st Place
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6.12University of Washington0.519.8%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University0.237.3%1st Place
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6.17Western Washington University0.679.7%1st Place
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7.75University of Oregon0.116.8%1st Place
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5.14University of British Columbia0.9614.9%1st Place
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7.96University of Victoria0.135.2%1st Place
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9.16University of Victoria-0.253.6%1st Place
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13.82University of British Columbia-2.300.5%1st Place
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9.84Western Washington University-0.473.0%1st Place
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8.22Western Washington University0.035.2%1st Place
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10.36University of Victoria-0.642.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Dalton Lovett | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 3.2% |
| Jack Rector | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 72.5% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 6.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.