← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon0.32+5.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.46+5.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.74+2.95vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.23+3.25vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.67+1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-0.64+4.07vs Predicted
-
7University of British Columbia0.96-1.97vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.51-2.06vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University-1.25+2.70vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.64-3.89vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.47-1.46vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.03-3.82vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria0.13-5.39vs Predicted
-
14University of British Columbia-2.30-0.31vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria-0.25-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.92University of Oregon0.327.5%1st Place
-
7.16University of Washington0.467.1%1st Place
-
5.95University of Washington0.7410.8%1st Place
-
7.25Western Washington University0.237.0%1st Place
-
6.07Western Washington University0.6710.1%1st Place
-
10.07University of Victoria-0.643.0%1st Place
-
5.03University of British Columbia0.9614.2%1st Place
-
5.94University of Washington0.5110.2%1st Place
-
11.7Oregon State University-1.251.6%1st Place
-
6.11Western Washington University0.649.2%1st Place
-
9.54Western Washington University-0.473.8%1st Place
-
8.18Western Washington University0.034.3%1st Place
-
7.61University of Victoria0.136.7%1st Place
-
13.69University of British Columbia-2.300.7%1st Place
-
8.79University of Victoria-0.253.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Murphy | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 6.6% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 27.4% | 17.8% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Lemke | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Rector | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 63.7% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.