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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+6.12vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.46+4.18vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.74+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+0.85vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.96-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.64+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.25-0.18vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.03-2.02vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-1.25+0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.13-4.34vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.32-6.09vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.47-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-2.30-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Western Washington University0.238.0%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.6410.5%1st Place
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7.18University of Washington0.467.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Washington0.749.3%1st Place
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5.85University of Washington0.5111.2%1st Place
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6.19Western Washington University0.679.5%1st Place
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5.05University of British Columbia0.9613.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Victoria-0.642.9%1st Place
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8.82University of Victoria-0.254.2%1st Place
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7.98Western Washington University0.035.1%1st Place
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11.66Oregon State University-1.251.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Victoria0.136.3%1st Place
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6.91University of Oregon0.327.3%1st Place
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9.54Western Washington University-0.474.0%1st Place
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13.7University of British Columbia-2.300.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 6.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 27.5% | 17.2% |
| Nathan Lemke | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Murphy | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 4.0% |
| Jack Rector | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.