← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.07+4.29vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.54+2.10vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.74+3.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington2.25+0.75vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.41vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine1.71+0.14vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.29-3.38vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.28-4.35vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.59vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.41vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University1.15-4.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii1.65-6.55vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.29University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
-
4.1Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.11University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.75University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
-
9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.14University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.62Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.65University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.59University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
-
7.55Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
-
6.45University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 15.5% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 13.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wenner | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 51.6% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.