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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.64+4.94vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.96+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.46+2.99vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.25+6.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.51-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.56+1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.13-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.25-1.56vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.47-1.82vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.23-5.34vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.64-3.24vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.03-6.16vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-2.30-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Western Washington University0.6410.3%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University0.6710.2%1st Place
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4.72University of British Columbia0.9614.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington0.467.0%1st Place
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11.38Oregon State University-1.252.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Washington0.5112.3%1st Place
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7.2University of Oregon0.117.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Washington-0.563.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Victoria0.136.8%1st Place
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8.44University of Victoria-0.255.5%1st Place
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9.18Western Washington University-0.473.9%1st Place
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6.66Western Washington University0.238.2%1st Place
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9.76University of Victoria-0.643.2%1st Place
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7.84Western Washington University0.035.3%1st Place
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13.68University of British Columbia-2.300.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Wickman | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 25.1% | 16.6% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Lemke | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Rector | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 13.9% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.