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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+4.34vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25+1.81vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.41vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.71+0.20vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.15+0.50vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29-3.37vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-3.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65-5.52vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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4.07Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.81University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.5Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University2.290.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 16.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 13.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wenner | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 56.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.