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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.84vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.71+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.25+0.84vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.07-0.76vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65-2.82vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.15-2.43vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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9.36California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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4.71Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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4.04Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University1.150.1%1st Place
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9.36California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.64University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Wenner | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 28.3% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 28.3% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 57.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.