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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+1.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.25+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05-0.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.21vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.08-0.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.90vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Pennsylvania2.1625.0%1st Place
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2.89Georgetown University2.2027.2%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.169.7%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy1.2513.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont1.058.9%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.9%1st Place
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6.98Princeton University-0.082.5%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.2%1st Place
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6.47SUNY Maritime College-0.023.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson McAliley | 25.0% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Diego Escobar | 27.2% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Henry Haddon | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
Hugh Carty | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
Calvin Lamosse | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
Advik Eswaran | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 35.0% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 16.9% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.