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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+2.04vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.49+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.51-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.69-0.22vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.88-1.91vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.94-2.97vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.55-1.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-6.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.58-8.10vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria0.40-6.54vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.64-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.03Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 26.1% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Nelson | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Philip Gordon | 16.6% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Teno | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| John Elam | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 24.5% |
| Connor Bescos | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| Shea Artis | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Meigan Blunt | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 19.7% | 31.0% |
| Eric Du | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.