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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+8.39vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.75vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.07-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-3.78vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.15-3.44vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.12Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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4.73Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.56Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.39California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 28.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wenner | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 28.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 17.7% | 56.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.