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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.64+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.96+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.51+2.95vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.67+2.41vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.13+2.79vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.23+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.46+0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-1.84vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.04-0.84vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.03-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.32-3.73vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.47-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.25-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.64-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-2.30-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Western Washington University0.649.0%1st Place
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5.27University of British Columbia0.9613.6%1st Place
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5.95University of Washington0.5110.8%1st Place
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6.41Western Washington University0.678.6%1st Place
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7.79University of Victoria0.135.9%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University0.236.2%1st Place
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7.43University of Washington0.467.5%1st Place
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6.16University of Washington0.7410.5%1st Place
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8.16Oregon State University0.045.5%1st Place
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8.42Western Washington University0.034.8%1st Place
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7.27University of Oregon0.326.8%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University-0.473.4%1st Place
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9.31University of Victoria-0.253.7%1st Place
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10.38University of Victoria-0.642.9%1st Place
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13.84University of British Columbia-2.300.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 6.7% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 8.8% |
| Jack Rector | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.