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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+5.22vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.87+3.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.15+1.59vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54-3.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.07-4.89vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.25-8.15vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.71Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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7.59Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.4California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.04Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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10.63University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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9.4California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Icard | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wenner | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 27.3% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 54.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 27.3% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.