← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.51+4.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.74+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.67+3.37vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria0.13+3.88vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.64+1.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon0.32+1.34vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.23+0.33vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia0.96-2.87vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington0.46-1.54vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria-0.25-0.71vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.47-1.08vs Predicted
-
12Oregon State University0.04-3.75vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria-0.64-2.75vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.03-5.86vs Predicted
-
15University of British Columbia-2.30-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.98University of Washington0.5110.9%1st Place
-
6.24University of Washington0.749.8%1st Place
-
6.37Western Washington University0.678.6%1st Place
-
7.88University of Victoria0.135.9%1st Place
-
6.49Western Washington University0.649.3%1st Place
-
7.34University of Oregon0.327.0%1st Place
-
7.33Western Washington University0.237.0%1st Place
-
5.13University of British Columbia0.9613.9%1st Place
-
7.46University of Washington0.466.5%1st Place
-
9.29University of Victoria-0.254.0%1st Place
-
9.92Western Washington University-0.473.6%1st Place
-
8.25Oregon State University0.045.1%1st Place
-
10.25University of Victoria-0.643.1%1st Place
-
8.14Western Washington University0.034.8%1st Place
-
13.94University of British Columbia-2.300.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Murphy | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 5.9% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 9.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Jack Rector | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.