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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+4.31vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.39vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+3.15vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29-0.32vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.25-3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-4.35vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.15-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65-5.57vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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9.39California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.68Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.53Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.53University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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9.39California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 25.3% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wenner | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 53.9% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 25.3% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.