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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.51+4.85vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.46+3.35vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.67+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.96-0.75vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.13-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.32-1.67vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University0.04-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.25-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.64-1.56vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.03-4.70vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.47-3.99vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-2.30-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85University of Washington0.5111.6%1st Place
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6.37Western Washington University0.6410.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Washington0.749.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Washington0.467.3%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University0.679.3%1st Place
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5.25University of British Columbia0.9613.1%1st Place
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7.46Western Washington University0.236.8%1st Place
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7.87University of Victoria0.136.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Oregon0.327.0%1st Place
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8.23Oregon State University0.044.6%1st Place
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8.93University of Victoria-0.254.2%1st Place
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10.44University of Victoria-0.642.2%1st Place
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8.3Western Washington University0.035.1%1st Place
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10.01Western Washington University-0.472.9%1st Place
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13.83University of British Columbia-2.300.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Lemke | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Murphy | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 9.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| Jack Rector | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.