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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.27+7.42vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.18+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.08+4.47vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.36+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia1.90-2.22vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.54+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.55-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30+0.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.05-2.40vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.10-3.23vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.51-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.82-2.62vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.20-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42University of Victoria-0.274.5%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington0.185.9%1st Place
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7.47University of Washington0.084.8%1st Place
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6.65Western Washington University0.366.5%1st Place
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2.78University of British Columbia1.9031.4%1st Place
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6.08Western Washington University0.548.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington-2.5511.7%1st Place
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8.64University of Victoria-0.303.8%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.5%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria0.055.9%1st Place
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7.77Western Washington University-0.104.7%1st Place
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9.3Western Washington University-0.513.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Oregon-0.821.5%1st Place
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8.54Western Washington University-0.204.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Gray | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Virginia Higgins | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Gavin Adams | 31.4% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 11.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 14.0% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 26.2% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.