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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.74+7.81vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+3.20vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71+2.21vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.81-1.01vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29-3.41vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-2.90vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.15-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.25-6.25vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65-5.47vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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4.06Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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9.56California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.59Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.68Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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9.56California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naish Harlan | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 18.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.