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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+3.65vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.54+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.27+5.55vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia1.90-1.23vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.10+2.71vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51+3.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.36-0.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.82+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.08-2.58vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.20-2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.30-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.18-5.93vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria0.05-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Washington-2.5513.0%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University0.549.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Victoria-0.274.0%1st Place
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2.77University of British Columbia1.9031.4%1st Place
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7.71Western Washington University-0.105.4%1st Place
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9.43Western Washington University-0.513.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University0.366.5%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.8%1st Place
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10.44University of Oregon-0.821.8%1st Place
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7.42University of Washington0.085.7%1st Place
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8.79Western Washington University-0.203.9%1st Place
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8.62University of Victoria-0.303.5%1st Place
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7.07University of Washington0.186.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Victoria0.054.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Maya Gray | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Gavin Adams | 31.4% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 25.5% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Bailey Logan | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.