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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+4.25vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.81+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74+0.21vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.74+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.25-5.40vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65-4.64vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.15-4.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.87-4.50vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.04University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.61Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.85Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 17.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Naish Harlan | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.