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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+4.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25-0.16vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.59vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.15+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.74+0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.07-5.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.81-5.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.87-3.37vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.41vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.65-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.69Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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9.59California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.61Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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9.59California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 17.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 37.2% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Naish Harlan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 37.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.