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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.90+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.05+4.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.36+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.18+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.27+2.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+1.97vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.30-0.37vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.51-0.58vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.10-3.45vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.08-4.69vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.20-4.30vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.50-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of Washington-2.5511.9%1st Place
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2.65University of British Columbia1.9035.9%1st Place
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7.34University of Victoria0.054.7%1st Place
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6.47Western Washington University0.366.7%1st Place
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7.03University of Washington0.185.8%1st Place
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8.4University of Victoria-0.273.2%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.1%1st Place
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5.89Western Washington University0.548.4%1st Place
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8.63University of Victoria-0.303.5%1st Place
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9.42Western Washington University-0.512.8%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University-0.104.9%1st Place
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7.31University of Washington0.085.1%1st Place
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8.7Western Washington University-0.202.9%1st Place
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11.78Oregon State University-1.501.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Maxwell Miller | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Gavin Adams | 35.9% | 23.4% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Bailey Logan | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
Leopold Sabharwal | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Jaden Unruh | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Maya Gray | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
Marty Weigel | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
Nathan Gerber | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
Ethan Lowenthal | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
Anna Morrow | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
Cooper Snell | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
Virginia Higgins | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
Malcolm Duncan Graves | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
John Kish | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.